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Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation

Cointelegraph· Cointelegraph by Nate Kostar· Jul 15, 2026 · 8:05 PM
Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation

Researchers found that Polymarket’s five-minute Bitcoin prediction markets create incentives to manipulate spot prices around contract settlement, proposing longer settlement windows as a potential fix.

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